Global climate modelling
- using local meteorological observational records shared by (case study) ‘in-basin’ consortium members to evaluate historical gridded climate datasets and validate the choice of reference dataset;
- investigating spatial and temporal patterns of near surface atmospheric moisture supply (precipitation) and demand (potential evapotranspiration) across case study basins/domains;
- developing and implementing methodology to produce a broad of ensemble of bias-corrected projections of 21st century climate conditions using the latest generation global modelling and covering a range of theoretical emissions pathways (scenarios).
Specific key research questions are co-developed – identified and explored – with (case study) ‘in-basin’ consortium members, but are generally articulated around the accuracy of available datasets, the implications observed patterns of moisture availability for critical sectors (e.g. agriculture) and the potential resource management challenges from anticipated anthropogenic climate change.”
The Global Climate Modelling team:
Research update video
This video was produced for the FutureDAMS annual forum (November 2020) as a summary of the team’s current research progress.
Global climate modelling research
Gebrechorkos, S. H., Pan, M., Lin, P., Pritchard, D., Forsythe, N., Fowler, H., and Sheffield, J.: Modelling hydrological droughts and floods in the Volta Basin, West Africa , EGU General Assembly 2021, online, 19–30 Apr 2021, EGU21-7992, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu21-7992, 2021
- Forsythe, N., Pritchard, D., and Fowler, H.: Applying the climatic water balance to the Volta basin as an accounting framework to aid policy makers in understanding climate pressures on the water-energy-food (W-E-F) nexus, EGU General Assembly 2020, Online, 4–8 May 2020, EGU2020-19371, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu2020-19371, 2020
- Building a UK climate impacts and risk assessment community
- Storylines: an alternative approach to representing uncertainty in physical aspects of climate